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Newsletter - March 2008 (Previous newsletter - Next newsletter)

February was a fairly quiet month as far as our Horse Racing Best Bets & Sports Information was concerned with just 19 bets advised! Still, with 7 winners we managed to make a profit of just over 4 points to bring our total profits for the year to just over 17 points.

And don’t forget those profits are the minimum you should have made. For example, anyone simply taking an early price on our horse racing bets would have won just over 4 points more!

We didn’t land any really big priced winners in February but we certainly got a run for our money and anyone trading prices and/or hedging in-running would have won a small fortune!

For example, our each-way best bet on the 2nd, Snake Charmer, finished just out of the frame at 8/1 but not before trading at odds of 1.12 on Betfair in the closing stages! Incidentally, the early price available on this one was 14/1.

Later on in the month, we were a shade unlucky not to collect on another of our each-way best bets when Punta Galera got badly outpaced early on but finished with a wet sail and only just failed to get a place. This one was also heavily backed from 16/1 early price down to 15/2 on the off.

It’s worth pointing out that it was not just our big priced selections that were supported in the betting. In fact, every single one of our best bets in February shortened in price!

This consistent market support certainly highlights the quality of our information and also emphasises just how easy it is to boost your profits simply by making the small effort to secure an early price!

Our warm horses and system bets are also invariably well supported in the market. In fact, in the first two months of this year, almost 72% of all our horse racing selections shortened in price! And with the odds remaining the same on just over 14%, it meant less than 14% of our selections actually drifted in the betting!

With figures like that there were obviously plenty of opportunities for those of you interested in trading prices to secure a nice profit regardless of the result!

Those figures are based on the best early prices available with the bookmakers compared to the starting price. However, for trading purposes, the prices available on the betting exchanges would obviously be critical so the percentage of winning trades may not be quite as high. Nevertheless, there will still have been plenty of opportunities to significantly boost your profits by trading or hedging and I’m sure you can all see the potential!

Our Horse Racing System Bets & Football Singles made a very small loss in February if betting at starting price although we are still showing a small profit for the year!

How we didn’t end up well in profit, I just don’t know! We certainly had more than our fair share of ‘hard luck’ stories which was highlighted by the fact a lot of our bets traded at unbelievably short prices in-running!

For example, Wynberg, who dead-heated at 8/11 on the 4th actually traded at the minimum price of 1.01 on Betfair in the closing stages! The next day, 8/13 chance Never So Blue went as short as 1.11 before falling three from home!

Our luck wasn’t much better with our football bets which was all too apparent a couple of days later when a last minute equaliser by Crewe against Swansea turned what looked like a certain 3/4 winner into a loser!

The second half of the month was much better for us and we landed 9 winners from 10 bets! That still wasn’t enough to fully repair the damage caused in the first week or so of the month but at least our betting bank is still fully intact! And hopefully some of you secured a nice profit by laying off in-running.

February was another very profitable month for our Weekend Football Fixed Odds Forecasts with three winning weeks out of four!

We came agonisingly close to landing a massive Jackpot win with our ‘double results’ in the first week of the month. With a minute to go all 5 forecasts were correct and we were all set to collect some 3200 points! But Derby scored a last gasp equaliser against Birmingham and we had to settle for a return of just over 600 points!

That’s still a fantastic win but I think just about every member had mixed emotions! I know I did!

It wasn’t just because we lost out on such a big win, it was the whole circumstances that made it so hard to take! With two minutes to go it looked almost certain we would only have four forecasts correct anyway so, if all games had ended then, we wouldn’t have felt so hard done by!

But when East Fife scored a late winner from the penalty spot against East Stirling, we had all 5 correct and the Jackpot was firmly within our grasp until Derby snatched it away again a couple of minutes later! Football can certainly be a cruel game at times!

Anyway, I suppose we can’t really complain. We still made a very healthy profit and, in all fairness, luck evened itself out overall although I must admit it was hard to see it like that at the time!

We drew a blank in the second week of the month when, for the first time this year, we failed to get a return with any of our bets.

However, we quickly got back to winning ways when we landed all five ‘aways’ the following week. A return of almost 63 points secured a decent overall profit for the week even though all our other bets failed to produce a return.

We finished the month in fine style when we again landed all five ‘aways’ for a return of almost 72 points. The only ‘treble’ for the week also won at odds of just under 7/2 to round off a very successful month!

As you know, we recently started providing ‘best odds’ information with the weekend forecasts. More information about the reason for this can be found by clicking here. If you haven’t already done so, please take the time to read this important message.

Some bookmakers don’t publish their odds for weekend matches until Thursday. Therefore, in order to provide the most up to date information possible, we have decided to hold back the weekly forecasts until 7pm on Thursday evenings.

This change will ensure you are always able to easily get the best odds available and will still give you plenty of time to place your bets.

Despite Derby putting a slight dampener on our celebrations, February was still another excellent month for us on the ‘fixed odds’ front. And there are still a good few weeks left until the end of the season so there is plenty of time for us to land a few more big wins!

NPBET - BEST PRICES 4 U.

Our Warm Horses provided quite a few decent priced winners in February including Exmoor Ranger who won for us at a very rewarding 14/1.

Other winners included Ballyfitz at 15/2 (early price 14/1) and Mondial Jack at 7/1 (early price 12/1). Hopefully most of you took the early prices!

We also had several other winners at odds of up to 9/2 and a few of our big priced each way bets also made the frame. These included Gold Again (11/1 from 14/1) and King’s Revenge (9/1 from 12/1). So, all in all, it was a fairly decent month for followers of our warm horses. Particularly if taking the early prices!

So, overall, it’s been an excellent start to the year for us and we can all look forward to building on our profits during the busy spring and summer months!

Well that’s all for now so until next time, enjoy your sport and stay lucky!Dave


 

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